Predicting Weather in Nature

What the Crows Know

Crow on the fence,
rain will go hence.
Crow on the ground,
rain will come down.

If the crow calls twice quickly and then a third time, it indicates a storm.

If the crow hath any interruption in her note like hiccough, or a croak with a kind of swallowing, it signifies wind and rain.
-- From the Farmer’s Almanac

Since the beginning of time, people have been forecasting the weather by observing nature. Prehistoric man was not as primitive as you might think. Despite having to use creatures in the sky to explain himself, primitive man knew if he saw birds roosting close to the ground it would soon rain or snow and large crops of acorns meant a harsh winter.

A lot of people today are quick to dismiss the old weather lore as nothing more than tall tales our ancestors made up to explain the mysteries of nature. Still, most people can remember weather sayings their parents or grandparents swore by. And while some of the old-time weather predictions didn’t work, many did work and were actually based on scientific fact. Here are some weather sayings that have been around a long time and the reasons they work. Which ones do you remember?

"If the new moon holds the old moon in her bosom the weather will be fair."

When clear, stable and dry air precedes a high-pressure system this occurs. The clear air allows you to see the dark part of the crescent moon holding the old moon, and this is usually a good prediction of 24 to 48 hours good weather.

"A ring around the moon brings rain or snow." or "When the moon is in her house, rain or snow will come."

If the moon has a ring around it, that means cirrus clouds are in the higher altitudes. Cirrus clouds usually precede low-pressure systems that bear moisture. These clouds contain ice crystals that refract the light giving the impression of a ring. If you count the number of stars in the ring, you can pretty accurately predict how far away the rain or snow will be. Allow 24 hours of time for each star and 12 hours for a faint star.

"If the crescent moon is tipped on its side (horns pointing up) it’s going to rain or snow."

This one is not so scientific. It seems to indicate rain since the moon is shaped like a bowl and looks like it could be filling with water to rain on you. If the horns are tipped to the side, some people believe that the water is going to pour out on you. Other people say this changes every few years and you just have to keep a weather eye on it.

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"If the moon’s face is red, of water she speaks."

This is a very accurate Zuni Indian saying. The red colour is due to the presence of dust being pushed ahead of a low pressure front bringing in moisture.

Red sky at night, sailors delight
Red sky at morning, sailors take warning.
Or
Evening red and morning grey,
sends the traveler on his way.
Evening grey, morning red,
brings the rain down on his head.

A red sky at either dusk or dawn is one of the more spectacular and beautiful weather predictors we have in nature. By closely observing this phenomenon, you can achieve short-range accuracy of the weather as good as, or better than your local weatherman.

At dusk, a red sky indicates that dry weather is on the way. This is due to the sun shining through dust particles being pushed ahead of a high-pressure system bringing in dry air. A red sky in the morning is due to the sun again shining through dust. In this case however, the dust is being pushed on out by an approaching low- pressure system bringing in moisture. Don’t confuse a red sky in the morning with a red sun in the morning. If the sun itself is red and the sky is a normal colour, the day will be fair. A red sun at dusk or dawn indicates dry weather.

"A rainbow in the morning, is the shepherd’s warning. A rainbow at night is the shepherd’s delight."

Rainbows play an essential part in weather predictions. A rainbow is an obvious indicator of rain as it refracts the light and breaks it down into colours. Rainbows in the morning to the west usually indicate approaching rain. But a rainbow at sunset usually means the rain is about to depart and fair weather is on the way.

Here are some odds and ends to keep an eye on:

When you hear the first cicada of the summer, expect the first frost of the year in exactly 90 days.

The last Sunday of the month predicts the weather for the next month.

Ice in November to bear a duck, the rest of the winter will be slush and muck.

If fog forms on water in the fall or spring, a frost is on the way.

Spiders will spin thicker, bigger webs in when the weather is going to be dry.

A foggy morning with dew on the grass indicates a clear day.

Crickets chirping loudly indicate a pleasant day to follow.

A clear, white moon tells you that the next day will be nice.

Cumulonimbus clouds forming rapidly in the mountains on warm afternoons presage an intense lightening storm is on its way in minutes.

Cobwebs on the grass are a sign of fair weather.

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE
As the air pressure around you rises or falls, many changes in nature occur. Most of these are obvious others are subtler. If you find yourself in a marsh or swamp and the air really seems to stink more than normal, expect rainy weather. This happens when the pressure drops and the methane trapped on the bottom of the swamp is released in greater quantities. In reverse, as fair weather approaches and the pressure rises, things won’t smell quite so strong.

Mountains and other faraway objects will appear to be much closer and more sharply focused as wet weather approaches and the air pressure drops. The dust particles in the air begin to settle to the ground and the air clears allowing you to see more details of faraway objects. As a high-pressure front approaches and the air becomes thicker, more dust particles become suspended in air and things take on their normal somewhat hazy appearance.

Sound too becomes sharper and more focused prior to stormy weather. Instead of traveling upward and outward into the atmosphere sound waves are bent back to the earth and their range extended. Even birdcalls sound sharper.Remember a grandparent talking about how their corn, bunions or joints ached right before a rain? Again, this is due to the decreasing atmospheric pressure allowing the gas in our bodies to expand.

Birds and bats have a tendency to fly much lower to the ground right before a rain due to the "thinning" of the air. They prefer to fly where the air is the densest and they can get greater lift with their wings. With high pressure and dry air, the atmosphere becomes denser and they can easily fly at higher altitudes.

Smoke rising straight into the air means fair weather and smoke hanging low means rain is on the way. This is pretty much the same as with the birds and methane in the swamp. With the high pressure approaching and the air becoming denser, smoke will rise whereas with low pressure it can’t rise and tends to lay low.

"Mare’s tails and mackerel scales,
make tall ships carry low sails."

Mare’s tails are actually cirrus clouds. They are high in the atmosphere and are pulled into long streamers resembling the tail of a mare. The mackerel scales are altocumulus clouds. If a sailor notices these, he knows that within 12 to 36 hours, the weather will be much too rough to be out on the open water.

PLANTS AND ANIMALS
Both of these seem to be uncanny in their ability to predict weather. Dogs and cats are notorious for knowing when a tornado or earthquake is imminent. Birds roost early and feed heavily before a rain or snow. Pigs and squirrels gather more debris to insulate from cold weather.

Chickweed, dandelions, bindweeds, wild indigo, clovers, and tulips all fold their petals prior to the rain. Rainstars, a type of fungus, opens up prior to a rain and closes in dry weather. Mushrooms, mosses and seaweeds abound when the weather is moist. In fact, seaweeds exposed on the rocks at low tide seem to swell and rejuvenate in the high humidity proceeding wet weather. When the atmosphere reaches about 80% humidity, the bog pimpernel closes and gives rise to this old weather saying:

Pimpernel, pimpernel, tell me true
Whether the weather be fine or no;
No heart can think, no tongue can tell,
The virtues of the pimpernel.

 

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